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Jesina vs Agnonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jesina host Agnonese in the Serie D - Group F 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Agnonese have shipped 2.24 goals a game lately, while Jesina have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.09. Past meetings favor Jesina slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 0.99) point toward Agnonese. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Jesina
20%
Draws
64%
Agnonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agnonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Jesina haven't matched Agnonese's recent run of results.
  • Jesina are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jesina Clean Sheet 20%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesina Agnonese
Matches Played 22 33
Wins 3 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.09 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Agnonese
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Jesina
3:1
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Agnonese
1:0
Nov 25, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Jesina
2:1
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Agnonese
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 67 / 100
Agnonese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesina Agnonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agnonese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 33 matches.

Jesina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Agnonese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Agnonese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesina

(Home)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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Agnonese

(Away)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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