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Jesina vs Monticelli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Jesina Logo

Jesina

1 - 1
FT
Monticelli Logo

Monticelli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Jesina and Monticelli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Jesina
20%
Draws
70%
Monticelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monticelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Monticelli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jesina a 10% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jesina Clean Sheet 15%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesina Monticelli
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 4 13
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.04 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Monticelli
1:1
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Jesina
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs Jesina
2:1
Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Monticelli
0:0
Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Monticelli
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 66 / 100
Monticelli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesina Monticelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jesina scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Monticelli let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jesina stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jesina VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesina

(Home)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
Page 1 of 5

Monticelli

(Away)
06 May
ASD Francavilla
2 : 1
Monticelli
29 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 0
Castelfidardo
22 Apr
Agnonese
6 : 0
Monticelli
15 Apr
Monticelli
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)