Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jesina host Nerostellati Pratola in the Serie D - Group F 2017/2018. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Jesina at 1.25 goals for, 2.13 against; Nerostellati Pratola at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Jesina slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2018, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.56) point toward Jesina. Jesina in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Jesina

17%

Draws

13%

Nerostellati Pratola

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jesina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Jesina has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nerostellati Pratola.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Jesina.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Jesina Clean Sheet 15%

Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jesina	Nerostellati Pratola
Matches Played	24	30
Wins	4	3
Draws	3	9
Losses	17	18
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	2.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Jesina vs Nerostellati Pratola

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Nerostellati Pratola vs Jesina

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 66 / 100

Nerostellati Pratola 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jesina Nerostellati Pratola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JES Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Nerostellati Pratola let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Jesina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nerostellati Pratola lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jesina VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

2.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18