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Jesina vs Pineto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Speranza I.
42' Event
Nepi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Jesina and Pineto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jesina
30%
Draws
58%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pineto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jesina are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jesina Clean Sheet 20%
Pineto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesina Pineto
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Pineto
1:1
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Jesina
2:0
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Pineto
1:1
Oct 24, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Jesina
3:3
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Jesina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesina Compare

Top Goalscorer Nepi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer Speranza I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 36 / 100
Pineto 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesina Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesina found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (22 games).

Pineto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jesina has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pineto
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesina

(Home)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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Pineto

(Away)
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0
Pineto
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2
Gubbio
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
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