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Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Djerba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeunesse Sportive play AS Djerba in the Ligue 2 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jeunesse Sportive averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. AS Djerba averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Jeunesse Sportive won 1, AS Djerba won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2023 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Jeunesse Sportive and 1.00 for AS Djerba. This points to a Jeunesse Sportive double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jeunesse Sportive
22%
Draws
29%
AS Djerba
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jeunesse Sportive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Jeunesse Sportive picked up more points recently compared to AS Djerba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 23%
AS Djerba Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Sportive AS Djerba
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.91 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Ligue 2
AS Djerba vs Jeunesse Sportive
3:2
Dec 11, 2022 Ligue 2
Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Djerba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Rejeb I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Souissi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AS Djerba Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Sportive 49 / 100
AS Djerba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Sportive AS Djerba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jeunesse Sportive or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jeunesse Sportive attacking → ← attacking AS Djerba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeunesse Sportive scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

AS Djerba let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jeunesse Sportive went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AS Djerba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 25
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00