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Jeunesse Sportive vs Ben Guerdane

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Chedly Zouiten
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bouaicha S.
26'
Chinonso A.
29'
Oboh D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Jeunesse Sportive and Ben Guerdane finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jeunesse Sportive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jeunesse Sportive
44%
Draws
20%
Ben Guerdane
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeunesse Sportive carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 28%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Sportive Ben Guerdane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Jeunesse Sportive
0:0
May 10, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Jeunesse Sportive vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Jeunesse Sportive
1:1
Mar 22, 2014 Tunisia Cup
Ben Guerdane vs Jeunesse Sportive
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouaghi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jouini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ben Guerdane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Sportive 38 / 100
Ben Guerdane 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Sportive Ben Guerdane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Jeunesse Sportive found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ben Guerdane conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jeunesse Sportive stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeunesse Sportive VS Ben Guerdane
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718