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Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Guizhou Guiyang

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Zhang Yanjun
45'
Chen Yunhua
46'
Sub
Zhang G. In: Li Jiahao
Out: Zhang G.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Jiangxi Lushan and Guizhou Guiyang finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jiangxi Lushan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jiangxi Lushan
28%
Draws
22%
Guizhou Guiyang
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guizhou Guiyang's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Jiangxi Lushan have produced (1.25).
  • Win probability leans Jiangxi Lushan's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Guizhou Guiyang
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:2
Apr 14, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guizhou Guiyang
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Jiahao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guizhou Guiyang Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 59 / 100
Guizhou Guiyang 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Guizhou Guiyang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Guizhou Guiyang let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jiangxi Lushan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Guizhou Guiyang
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1547415:2219
8Guangzhou Dandelion1553716:1918
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179