Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jinan Xingzhou vs Guangzhou FC

China China

Jia League 2023 Shandong Provincial Sports Centre Stadium, Jinan
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Tambe R.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Tambe R.
Assist: Li Suda
14'
Ye Chongqiu

AI Match Summary

Jinan Xingzhou in this Jia League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jinan Xingzhou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jinan Xingzhou
33%
Draws
40%
Guangzhou FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Guangzhou FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangzhou FC have won more games recently than Jinan Xingzhou.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Guangzhou FC taking it.
  • Regular Jia League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jinan Xingzhou Clean Sheet 12%
Guangzhou FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinan Xingzhou Guangzhou FC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2023 League One
Jinan Xingzhou vs Guangzhou FC
2:1
Jun 4, 2023 League One
Guangzhou FC vs Jinan Xingzhou
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jinan Xingzhou Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambe R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Guangzhou FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Asqer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinan Xingzhou 27 / 100
Guangzhou FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinan Xingzhou Guangzhou FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinan Xingzhou found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guangzhou FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Jinan Xingzhou has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guangzhou FC
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jinan Xingzhou

(Home)
05 Nov
Foshan Nanshi
2 : 0
Jinan Xingzhou
28 Oct
Jinan Xingzhou
1 : 2
Wuxi Wugou
21 Oct
Dandong Tengyue
1 : 1
Jinan Xingzhou
18 Oct
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Jinan Xingzhou
14 Oct
Jinan Xingzhou
0 : 0
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

Guangzhou FC

(Away)
03 Nov
Nanjing City
2 : 1
Guangzhou FC
26 Oct
Guangzhou FC
3 : 1
Yanbian Longding
19 Oct
Liaoning Tieren
0 : 2
Guangzhou FC
12 Oct
Guangzhou FC
0 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Oct
Guangzhou FC
1 : 1
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30223551:1969
2Qingdao West Coast301710344:2261
3Shijiazhuang Gongfu30168643:2356
4Guangxi Pingguo Haliao301412438:2054
5Nanjing City301213534:2249
6Jinan Xingzhou301110934:3143
7Foshan Nanshi301181131:3441
8Yanbian Longding308121031:3236
9Dingnan Ganlian30981342:4035
10Liaoning Tieren308111130:4235
11Shanghai Jiading Huilong307101320:3731
12Guangzhou FC30861631:4330
13Dandong Tengyue306121228:3830
14Suzhou Dongwu306101428:4128
15Wuxi Wugou30671729:5425
16Jiangxi Lushan30661829:4524
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