Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jinan Xingzhou vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Jia League 2023 Shandong Provincial Sports Centre Stadium, Jinan
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Yi Xianlong
19'
Egbuchulam C.
22'
Zhang Yudong

AI Match Summary

The Jia League 2023 game between Jinan Xingzhou and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jinan Xingzhou
33%
Draws
27%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jinan Xingzhou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jinan Xingzhou's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jinan Xingzhou Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinan Xingzhou Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 League One
Jinan Xingzhou vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:2
May 13, 2023 League One
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Jinan Xingzhou
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jinan Xingzhou Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu Baojie
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz M. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinan Xingzhou 50 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinan Xingzhou Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Jinan Xingzhou found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Jinan Xingzhou remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jinan Xingzhou

(Home)
05 Nov
Foshan Nanshi
2 : 0
Jinan Xingzhou
28 Oct
Jinan Xingzhou
1 : 2
Wuxi Wugou
21 Oct
Dandong Tengyue
1 : 1
Jinan Xingzhou
18 Oct
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Jinan Xingzhou
14 Oct
Jinan Xingzhou
0 : 0
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

(Away)
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
11 Jul
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 3
Chengdu Rongcheng
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30223551:1969
2Qingdao West Coast301710344:2261
3Shijiazhuang Gongfu30168643:2356
4Guangxi Pingguo Haliao301412438:2054
5Nanjing City301213534:2249
6Jinan Xingzhou301110934:3143
7Foshan Nanshi301181131:3441
8Yanbian Longding308121031:3236
9Dingnan Ganlian30981342:4035
10Liaoning Tieren308111130:4235
11Shanghai Jiading Huilong307101320:3731
12Guangzhou FC30861631:4330
13Dandong Tengyue306121228:3830
14Suzhou Dongwu306101428:4128
15Wuxi Wugou30671729:5425
16Jiangxi Lushan30661829:4524
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