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Stadium Background

Jincheon vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jincheon play Geumsan Insam in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jincheon averaged 2 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Geumsan Insam averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Jincheon won 1, Geumsan Insam won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Jincheon and 1.25 for Geumsan Insam. This points to a Jincheon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jincheon
33%
Draws
27%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Jincheon picked up more points recently compared to Geumsan Insam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 19%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jincheon Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 2 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Jincheon
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 K4 League
Jincheon vs Geumsan Insam
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jincheon 40 / 100
Geumsan Insam 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jincheon Geumsan Insam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jincheon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jincheon attacking → ← attacking Geumsan Insam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jincheon scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Geumsan Insam let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jincheon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Geumsan Insam lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 24
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369