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Jincheon vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

Jincheon in this K4 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jincheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jincheon
30%
Draws
29%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jincheon lately — more wins on the board than Geumsan Insam.
  • Model gives Jincheon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 12%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jincheon Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Jincheon
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 K4 League
Jincheon vs Geumsan Insam
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jincheon 35 / 100
Geumsan Insam 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jincheon Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jincheon's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Defensive concern: Geumsan Insam conceded in 77% of 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jincheon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jincheon VS Geumsan Insam
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jincheon

(Home)
12 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
1 : 1
Jincheon
06 Sept
Haman
3 : 1
Jincheon
22 Aug
Pyeongchang United
0 : 1
Jincheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
11 Jul
Sejong SA
4 : 1
Jincheon
Page 1 of 5

Geumsan Insam

(Away)
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
25 Jul
Geumsan Insam
1 : 3
Seoul Jungnang
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 20 16 2 2 50:16 50
2 Jincheon 20 11 5 4 38:20 38
3 Namyangju 21 10 6 5 30:26 36
4 Seoul Jungnang 20 10 4 6 38:23 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 21 7 7 7 26:31 28
7 Geoje 18 8 3 7 33:26 27
8 Pyeongchang United 20 8 2 10 27:31 26
9 Gijang United 20 8 2 10 28:36 26
10 Sejong SA 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 20 4 0 16 22:46 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 20 2 5 13 20:44 11
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