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JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Akatemia

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2025 Harjun Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ylonen E.
12'
Sub
Rintamaki K. In: Maunuksela V.
Out: Rintamaki K.
20'
Osso S.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen 2025 game between JJK Jyvaskyla and KuPS Akatemia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KuPS Akatemia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
JJK Jyvaskyla
6%
Draws
4%
KuPS Akatemia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: JJK Jyvaskyla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • JJK Jyvaskyla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on JJK Jyvaskyla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
JJK Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 16%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JJK Jyvaskyla KuPS Akatemia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Akatemia
4:4
Apr 10, 2026 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs JJK Jyvaskyla
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Akatemia
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs KuPS Akatemia
2:1
Apr 16, 2025 Suomen Cup
KuPS Akatemia vs JJK Jyvaskyla
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JJK Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Pahkala T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ylonen E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JJK Jyvaskyla 84 / 100
KuPS Akatemia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JJK Jyvaskyla KuPS Akatemia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JJK Jyvaskyla scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

KuPS Akatemia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: JJK Jyvaskyla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

JJK Jyvaskyla VS KuPS Akatemia
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mikkelin27148555:3150
2OLS Oulu271211461:3647
3KuPS Akatemia271341050:4943
4KPV Kokkola271241144:4440
5JJK Jyvaskyla271041338:4234
6Tampere Utd27941435:4731