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JK Jalgpallihaigla vs Merkuur-Juunior

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
Tue, Jul 5, 2005
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JK Jalgpallihaigla host Merkuur-Juunior in the Esiliiga 2005. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Merkuur-Juunior have shipped 5 goals a game lately, while JK Jalgpallihaigla have conceded 5.13 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, JK Jalgpallihaigla have won 3 to Merkuur-Juunior's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2005, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Merkuur-Juunior. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
JK Jalgpallihaigla
6%
Draws
90%
Merkuur-Juunior
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merkuur-Juunior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merkuur-Juunior haven't matched JK Jalgpallihaigla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Merkuur-Juunior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and JK Jalgpallihaigla have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
JK Jalgpallihaigla Clean Sheet 20%
Merkuur-Juunior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JK Jalgpallihaigla Merkuur-Juunior
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 5.13 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2005 Esiliiga
JK Jalgpallihaigla vs Merkuur-Juunior
3:1
Jul 23, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs JK Jalgpallihaigla
1:2
Jul 5, 2005 Esiliiga
JK Jalgpallihaigla vs Merkuur-Juunior
0:0
Mar 12, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs JK Jalgpallihaigla
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JK Jalgpallihaigla 10 / 100
Merkuur-Juunior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JK Jalgpallihaigla Merkuur-Juunior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Merkuur-Juunior has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

JK Jalgpallihaigla found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Merkuur-Juunior let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

JK Jalgpallihaigla VS Merkuur-Juunior
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
5.13 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parnu Linnameeskond36266492:3984
2Levadia U21362646104:3182
3Lasnamae362385111:3077
4Tallinna Kalev36189985:7163
5Tervis Parnu361491373:5351
6TVMK Tallinn II361251951:8041
7Elva361062042:7136
8Lelle361112449:10034
9JK Jalgpallihaigla36942338:10031
10Merkuur-Juunior36262827:9712