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JK Retro vs Sillamae Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Sillamae Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
JK Retro
15%
Draws
52%
Sillamae Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sillamae Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev come out ahead of JK Retro on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sillamae Kalev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sillamae Kalev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
JK Retro Clean Sheet 10%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JK Retro Sillamae Kalev
Matches Played 4 28
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.86
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2010 Estonian Cup
JK Retro vs Sillamae Kalev
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JK Retro 34 / 100
Sillamae Kalev 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JK Retro Sillamae Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sillamae Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Sillamae Kalev let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Sillamae Kalev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

JK Retro scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Scoring Trends

JK Retro VS Sillamae Kalev
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

JK Retro

(Home)
23 Sept
Levadia
5 : 0
JK Retro
06 Aug
JK Retro
5 : 0
Loo JK
21 Jun
Ganvix Turi
3 : 2
JK Retro
29 Jun
JK Retro
0 : 7
Sillamae Kalev

Sillamae Kalev

(Away)
21 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 0
Sillamae Kalev
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
04 Nov
Sillamae Kalev
0 : 1
Tulevik
28 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 0
FCI Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tammeka Tartu 0
Narva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Lasnamae 4
Nomme Utd 1
Viimsi JK 4
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 0
Sillamae Kalev 12
Kivioli Irbis 1
Flora 4
FC Lootos Polva 1
Raasiku Joker 3
Sillamae Kalev II 0
Quarter-finals
Narva 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Tartu SK 10 0
Lasnamae 4
Viimsi JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Flora 3
Raasiku Joker 0
Semi-finals
Flora 6
Lasnamae 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Narva 2
Final
Flora 2
Narva 0