Sport Picks

Stadium Background

JKT Tanzania vs Mbuni

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Songo E.
51' Event
Songo E.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Kilemile A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
JKT Tanzania
25%
Draws
35%
Mbuni
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: JKT Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and JKT Tanzania come out ahead of Mbuni on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on JKT Tanzania taking it.
  • JKT Tanzania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor JKT Tanzania, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Mbuni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JKT Tanzania Mbuni
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 10 0
Draws 9 0
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.23 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Federation Cup
JKT Tanzania vs Mbuni
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JKT Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Songo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kilemile A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mbuni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JKT Tanzania 42 / 100
Mbuni 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JKT Tanzania Mbuni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbuni let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Attacking prowess: JKT Tanzania scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

JKT Tanzania has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

JKT Tanzania VS Mbuni
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

JKT Tanzania

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Mbuni

(Away)
10 Apr
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbuni

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0