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JM Liberty vs Kogi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2021/2022
JM Liberty Logo

JM Liberty

2 - 2
FT
Kogi United Logo

Kogi United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NNL 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
JM Liberty
15%
Draws
28%
Kogi United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JM Liberty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kogi United have won more games recently than JM Liberty.
  • Win probability leans JM Liberty's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
JM Liberty Clean Sheet 20%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JM Liberty Kogi United
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 NNL
Kogi United vs JM Liberty
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 NNL
JM Liberty vs Kogi United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JM Liberty 85 / 100
Kogi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JM Liberty Kogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JM Liberty Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JM Liberty scored in 65% of their last 20 games.

Kogi United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Kogi United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

JM Liberty VS Kogi United
1.33 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

JM Liberty

(Home)
27 Aug
JM Liberty
2 : 0
Jigawa Golden Stars
14 Jul
Adamawa Utd
2 : 1
JM Liberty
27 Jun
JM Liberty
1 : 2
Doma United
22 Jun
Kebbi
1 : 0
JM Liberty
18 Jun
JM Liberty
1 : 0
Road Safety FC
Page 1 of 4

Kogi United

(Away)
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1
Plateau United
10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0
Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0
Kogi United
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1
Kogi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Kanemi Warriors 18 11 4 3 30:9 37
2 City FC Abuja 18 10 3 5 23:16 33
3 Sokoto United 18 9 4 5 22:16 31
4 Yobe Stars 18 9 3 6 23:15 30
5 Mighty Jets 18 9 2 7 23:18 29
6 ABS 18 7 6 5 24:19 27
7 EFCC FC 18 8 3 7 16:19 27
8 Zamfara United 18 8 2 8 19:20 26
9 FWC Champions 18 2 3 13 11:26 9
10 Oyah Sports 18 1 2 15 8:41 5
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 20 12 3 5 26:14 39
2 Malumfashi 20 11 1 8 25:21 34
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 20 10 1 9 23:18 31
4 DMD 20 9 4 7 22:19 31
5 Green Beret 20 9 3 8 19:13 30
6 Adamawa Utd 20 10 0 10 18:21 30
7 Kebbi 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
8 Nigeria Airforce FC 20 7 4 9 18:24 25
9 JM Liberty 20 7 3 10 18:21 24
10 Road Safety FC 20 6 3 11 16:22 21
11 Kogi United 20 4 9 7 15:22 21
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bendel 22 15 4 3 32:11 49
2 Gateway United 22 12 4 6 23:15 40
3 Ibom Youths 22 9 5 8 31:27 32
4 Adoration 22 10 2 10 26:27 32
5 Abeokuta 22 9 4 9 20:19 31
6 Ekiti United 22 10 0 12 19:32 30
7 Vandrezzer 22 7 8 7 23:18 29
8 Ikorodu City 22 7 8 7 26:22 29
9 Giant Brillars 22 8 5 9 23:21 29
10 J'Atete FC 22 7 6 9 15:22 27
11 Osun United 22 8 2 12 23:33 26
12 Campos 22 4 4 14 16:30 16
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayelsa United 24 13 5 6 37:19 44
2 Crown FC 24 13 3 8 32:25 42
3 Warri Wolves 24 12 4 8 32:20 40
4 Rovers FC 24 12 3 9 24:20 39
5 Ijebu 24 10 5 9 27:26 35
6 Go Round 24 10 5 9 22:25 35
7 Edel FC 24 9 5 10 26:27 32
8 Abia Comets 24 10 2 12 26:28 32
9 Cynosure 24 9 4 11 23:20 31
10 Sporting Lagos 24 8 6 10 22:24 30
11 One Rocket 24 8 6 10 16:20 30
12 Apex Krane 24 7 6 11 23:29 27
13 Ottasolo 24 5 6 13 14:41 21
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)