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Jocoro vs Alianza FC

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Rodriguez O.
57' Event
Aguila G.
68' Event
Rivas E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Jocoro and Alianza FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jocoro
28%
Draws
50%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza FC come out ahead of Jocoro on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Alianza FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 18%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jocoro Alianza FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Alianza FC
1:2
Feb 8, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Jocoro
5:0
Nov 26, 2023 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Jocoro
2:2
Oct 1, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Alianza FC
3:2
Mar 30, 2023 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Jocoro
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jocoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguila G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jocoro 23 / 100
Alianza FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jocoro Alianza FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Alianza FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Jocoro scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Jocoro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alianza FC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza FC22136339:1345
2Luis Angel Firpo22133647:3042
3Municipal Limeno22123733:2539
4Aguila22108429:1838
5FAS2288626:2432
6Platense Municipal2295826:2932
7Metapan2294924:2231
811 Deportivo2287722:2431
9Dragon22931027:3330
10Santa Tecla22551226:3920
11Fuerte San Francisco22451319:3017
12Jocoro22231713:449