Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Jogeva advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igiliikur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Jogeva's 2.05 goals per match outpaces what Igiliikur have produced (1.71).
- Model gives Jogeva a 28% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Jogeva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jogeva Clean Sheet 10%
Igiliikur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jogeva | Igiliikur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 21 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.05 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.82 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.88 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2012 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Igiliikur
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jogeva 56 / 100
Igiliikur 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jogeva Igiliikur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jogeva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jogeva scored in 80% of their last 20 games.
Igiliikur has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Igiliikur has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jogeva VS Igiliikur
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jogeva
(Home) 10 Jul
Nomme Utd
: Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0 Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4 Jogeva
Page 1 of 5
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
21 Jun
Jogeva
4 : 1 Imavere Forss
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
Page 1 of 3
Igiliikur
(Away) 29 Jul
Tallinna Pocarr
3 : 0 Igiliikur
07 Aug
Igiliikur
1 : 7 Tulevik
19 Jun
Viimsi JK 2
1 : 2 Igiliikur
19 Jul
Igiliikur
1 : 2 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
16 Jun
FC Ararat
4 : 5 Igiliikur
Page 1 of 5
29 Jul
Tallinna Pocarr
3 : 0 Igiliikur
19 Jun
Viimsi JK 2
1 : 2 Igiliikur
16 Jun
FC Ararat
4 : 5 Igiliikur
21 Jun
Molycorp Silmet
2 : 0 Igiliikur
27 Jun
Ganvix Turi
3 : 1 Igiliikur
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kalju 17
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Tallinna Kalev 12
FC KIIU 3
Otepaa 2
Ulikool Tallinn 1
Tartu SK 10 II -
Leisi -
Pirita 0
Rapla 8
Saku Sporting 3
FC Balteco 1
Pokkeriprod 3
Soccernet 2
Levadia 12
Toompea 1994 0
Ajax Lasnamae II 2
Velldoris 5
Kalju III 2
Akhtamar 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Kose 3
Kaitseliit II 2
TBD -
Nomme Utd -
Helios 0
Ambla 4
Ganvix Turi 3
JK Retro 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 1
Viljandi 2
Jogeva 3
Igiliikur 1
Quattromed II -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
Haiba 4
Legion 3
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 8
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
JK Keskerakond 1
FCI Tallinn 14
Trummi 2
JK Visadus 6
Twister Tallinn 1
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 10
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi JK 9
Raasiku Joker 0
Lasnamae -
SK Taaksi -
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tulevik 3
Tammeka Tartu 4
Johvi Phoenix 0
Narva -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III 0
Saue JK Laagri 3
Kadakas 3
Reaal 0
TBD -
Saaremaa -
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Maccabi 4
TBD -
Taebla -
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Olympic Tallinn 2
Quattromed 9
Look Tartu 0
Metropool Parnu 1
Kivioli Irbis 7
Dinamo Tallinn 2
Sorve 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Kaitseliit 3
Tammeka Tartu II -
Rada Kuusalu -
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Puuma 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
JK Luunja 2
Rummu Dunamo 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
Kardla 3
Tabasalu 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Lihula JK 0
PSK Alexela 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Jarva-Jaani 3
Imavere Forss 2
Pubi Trehv -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 1
Voru 3
Elva -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt 1
Elva 4
Koeru -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 3
FCI Tallinn II 1
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Tartu SK 10 5
Kristiine 2
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 2
Lelle 0
Flora 12
Loo JK 0
1/32-finals
Kalju 4
Tallinna Kalev 0
Otepaa 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Rapla 4
Saku Sporting 3
Pokkeriprod 0
Levadia 18
Velldoris 2
Kalju III 0
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
FC Lootos Polva 3
Kose 2
Nomme Utd 1
Ambla 1
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 6
Jogeva 1
Quattromed II 0
Rakvere 8
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Haiba 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Flora Tallinn U21 6
FCI Tallinn 1
JK Visadus 0
Kuressaare 2
FC Ararat 3
Viimsi JK 2
Lasnamae 0
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Narva 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kadakas 1
Saaremaa 2
Maccabi 3
Taebla 1
Olympic Tallinn 1
Quattromed 5
Kivioli Irbis 5
Dinamo Tallinn 0
Kaitseliit 2
Rada Kuusalu 3
Puuma 1
Valga Warrior 0
Keila JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 2
Rummu Dunamo 1
Kardla 0
Navi Vutiselts 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Jarva-Jaani 0
Pubi Trehv 1
Voru 2
Elva 6
Tartu JK Welco 1
Koeru 1
Pohja-Sakala 4
Tartu SK 10 4
Kalju II 3
Eston Villa 0
Flora 6
1/16-finals
Kalju 3
Tartu SK 10 II 0
Rapla 1
Levadia 17
Velldoris 3
FC Lootos Polva 2
Kose 2
Ganvix Turi 6
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 5
FC Ararat 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Narva -
Saaremaa -
Maccabi 2
Quattromed 9
Kivioli Irbis -
Rada Kuusalu -
Puuma 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Navi Vutiselts 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Voru 1
Elva 2
Pohja-Sakala 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Flora 9
1/8-finals
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
Velldoris 1
Ganvix Turi 8
Viljandi 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Narva 7
Quattromed 1
Kivioli Irbis 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Voru 2
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Kalju 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Viljandi -
Tammeka Tartu -
Narva 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 6
Semi-finals
Kalju 5
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 0
Flora 3
Final
Kalju 1
Flora 3
