Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Jogeva have averaged 2.05 scored and 2.82 conceded recently, against Lasnamae's 0.9 scored and 3.35 conceded. Past meetings favor Jogeva slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.01 - 1.95) back Jogeva to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jogeva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jogeva come out ahead of Lasnamae on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Jogeva taking it.
- Jogeva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jogeva Clean Sheet 10%
Lasnamae Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jogeva | Lasnamae |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 2.05 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.82 | 3.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.01 | 1.95 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 15, 2014 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Lasnamae
0:0
Jul 5, 2014 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Lasnamae
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jogeva 83 / 100
Lasnamae 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jogeva Lasnamae
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jogeva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jogeva's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Lasnamae has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Lasnamae registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Jogeva VS Lasnamae
1.4 Goals Scored 0.5
3.4 Goals Conceded 4.63
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jogeva
(Home) 10 Jul
Nomme Utd
: Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0 Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4 Jogeva
Page 1 of 5
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
21 Jun
Jogeva
4 : 1 Imavere Forss
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
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Lasnamae
(Away) 11 Nov
Lasnamae
2 : 5 Voru Helios
03 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
4 : 1 Lasnamae
27 Oct
Lasnamae
1 : 7 Tammeka Tartu II
20 Oct
Lasnamae
0 : 0 Vandra Vaprus
13 Oct
Parnu
6 : 0 Lasnamae
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
4 : 1 Lasnamae
13 Oct
Parnu
6 : 0 Lasnamae
07 Oct
Flora U19
1 : 2 Lasnamae
29 Sept
FC Alliance
2 : 0 Lasnamae
02 Sept
Voru Helios
6 : 2 Lasnamae
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2
