Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jogeva vs Otepaa Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Indus L.
15' Event
Parkala T.
28' Event
Kleimann-Leimann S.

AI Match Summary

Jogeva in this Estonian Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 7-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jogeva
15%
Draws
57%
Otepaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otepaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Otepaa have won more games recently than Jogeva.
  • Model gives Otepaa a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Otepaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Otepaa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Jogeva Clean Sheet 10%
Otepaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jogeva Otepaa
Matches Played 22 23
Wins 8 11
Draws 1 0
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.05 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.82 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2019 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Otepaa
2:4
Jul 18, 2018 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Otepaa
7:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jogeva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleimann-Leimann S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Indus L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Otepaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teemant S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jogeva 26 / 100
Otepaa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jogeva Otepaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otepaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jogeva found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).

Otepaa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Away concern: Otepaa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jogeva VS Otepaa
3 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jogeva

(Home)
10 Jul
Nomme Utd
:
Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2
FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4
Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0
Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4
Jogeva
Page 1 of 5

Otepaa

(Away)
09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0
Otepaa
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2
Otepaa
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4
Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3
Otepaa
25 Jul
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 2
Otepaa
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva -
TBD -
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Imavere Forss 4
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Kadrina SK Moe 3
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Helios II -
Otepaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Tallinna Kalev III 3
TBD -
Kalju III -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
TransferWise 2
TBD -
Teleios -
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves 3
Tulevik Viljandi II 4
Pohja-Tallinna 2 9
Puhkus Mehhikos 2
Tulevik 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Tabasalu 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
TBD -
Lelle -
Raasiku Joker -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Kose -
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid 2
Koeru 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 10
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn -
Viimsi JK 2 3
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Igiliikur 5
FC Ararat 4
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Mulgi 1
Ambla 2
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju -
TBD -
Anija 1
Sillamae 2
Vaimastvere SK Illi 8
Raudteetoolised 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Kuressaare 22
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Rumori Calcio 3
Raplamaa 0
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Mauruse Saurused 2
Maardu United II 21
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Torva JK 1
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna JK Augur -
Kadakas -
TBD -
Kohila 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 6
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Loo JK 1
FC Tallinn -
Molycorp Silmet -
Rakvere -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 1
Legion 3
Flora 16
Olympic Tallinn 0
TBD -
Helios -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Viking 1
Valga Warrior 5
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Soccernet 0
Levadia 12
1/32-finals
Narva 10
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Depoo 0
Kadrina SK Moe 2
Tallinn Piraaja 7
Helios II 0
Otepaa 3
Jogeva 7
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
Kalju III 0
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Teleios 4
Sillamae Kalev 4
Tulevik Viljandi II 2
Pohja-Tallinna 2 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Tabasalu 6
Lelle 0
Raasiku Joker 4
JK Poseidon 5
Kose -
Koeru -
Marjamaa Kompanii 3
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Maksatransport 2
Igiliikur 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 6
Ambla 1
Eston Villa 0
Elva 4
Kalju 16
Sillamae 0
Vaimastvere SK Illi 0
Kuressaare 15
Santos Tartu 5
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Rumori Calcio 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Jarva-Jaani 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Maardu United -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Maardu United II 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Paide Linnameeskond 15
Tallinna JK Augur 1
Kadakas 4
Paide Linnameeskond II 10
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Molycorp Silmet 1
Rakvere 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Helios 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Valga Warrior 7
Tartu JK Welco 1
Flora U19 0
Nomme Utd 1
Levadia 4
1/16-finals
Narva 7
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Jogeva 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 14
Teleios 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 2
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 2
Santos Tartu 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Jarva-Jaani 5
Aksi Wolves 0
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Levadia 5
1/8-finals
Narva 8
Jogeva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 6
Zenit Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2 0
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Jarva-Jaani 0
Tammeka Tartu 6
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Legion 1
Flora 1
Levadia 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Tabasalu 1
Elva 5
Kalju 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 4
Semi-finals
Narva 5
Elva 0
Kalju 3
Levadia 2
Final
Narva 2
Kalju 1