Sport Picks
Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Lowland League 
Match Events
14'
14'
Barrowman M.
Assist: McShane I.
34'
34'
Mason A.
Assist: McShane I.
60'
60'
Moore J.
Assist: Cook A.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Johnstone Burgh and Renfrew finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johnstone Burgh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Renfrew haven't matched Johnstone Burgh's recent run of results.
- Model gives Johnstone Burgh a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 13%
Renfrew Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Johnstone Burgh | Renfrew |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 11 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 2.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Lowland League
Johnstone Burgh vs Renfrew
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Johnstone Burgh Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrowman M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Renfrew Compare
Top Goalscorer Moore J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Johnstone Burgh 84 / 100
Renfrew 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Johnstone Burgh Renfrew
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Johnstone Burgh found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).
Renfrew has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Johnstone Burgh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Johnstone Burgh VS Renfrew
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Johnstone Burgh
(Home) 03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0 Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4 Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0 Dalbeattie Star
22 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Newton Stewart
08 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
2 : 2 Albion Rovers
29 Jul
Johnstone Burgh
2 : 0 Troon FC
Page 1 of 2
Renfrew
(Away) 03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2 Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
23 Sept
Renfrew
3 : 0 Beith
16 Sept
Pollok
1 : 3 Renfrew
29 Aug
Renfrew
1 : 5 Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
16 Sept
Pollok
1 : 3 Renfrew
19 Aug
Troon FC
2 : 0 Renfrew
01 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 2 Renfrew
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Broxburn Athletic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Hill Of Beath | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Boness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11:27 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:21 | 19 |
| 7 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20:23 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25:33 | 10 |
| 13 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Renfrew | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:29 | 7 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:37 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:35 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
