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Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Johvi Phoenix host Narva U21 in the Esiliiga B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Narva U21 have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Johvi Phoenix have conceded 2.34 and scored 2.53. Past meetings favor Johvi Phoenix slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.13, favoring Narva U21. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Johvi Phoenix
15%
Draws
47%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Narva U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Narva U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix Narva U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.53 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:0
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21
4:2
Oct 8, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 26 / 100
Narva U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Narva U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Johvi Phoenix stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Narva U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Johvi Phoenix

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 7

Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)