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Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix Logo

Johvi Phoenix

4 - 2
FT
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vahemets O.
19' Event
Minajev M.
22' Event
Enok J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Johvi Phoenix and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Johvi Phoenix
15%
Draws
36%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Johvi Phoenix come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Johvi Phoenix have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.48 3.17
Goals Conceded 2.35 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
2:3
Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4:2
May 25, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4:3
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Minajev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Enok J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vahemets O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarvekulg H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 10 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Johvi Phoenix stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Johvi Phoenix

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
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Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 30 14 5 11 80:61 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 30 3 3 24 26:113 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)