Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Malahhov J.
46'
46'
Sub
Malahhov J. In: Salmus A.
Out: Malahhov J.
57'
57'
Raja E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Johvi Phoenix advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Johvi Phoenix carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Johvi Phoenix taking it.
- Johvi Phoenix have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Johvi Phoenix, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 17%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Rakvere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.53 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2022 Estonian Cup
Johvi Phoenix vs Rakvere
1:0
Nov 10, 2013 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Johvi Phoenix
0:2
Jul 21, 2013 Esiliiga
Johvi Phoenix vs Rakvere
0:0
May 4, 2013 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2
May 1, 2013 Esiliiga
Johvi Phoenix vs Rakvere
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Johvi Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Salmus A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15
Rakvere Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Johvi Phoenix 36 / 100
Rakvere 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Johvi Phoenix Rakvere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Johvi Phoenix scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Rakvere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Johvi Phoenix remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Johvi Phoenix VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Johvi Phoenix
(Home) 19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2 Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
12 Aug
Johvi Phoenix
0 : 5 Parnu JK Vaprus
22 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
8 : 1 FC Hell Hunt
12 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 4
Rakvere
(Away) 19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0 Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4 Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2 Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1 Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1 Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0 Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4 Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2 Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1 Rakvere
26 Aug
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Rakvere
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2
