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Johvi Phoenix vs ReUnited

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2022/2023
Wed, Sep 14, 2022
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2022/2023. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. ReUnited have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Johvi Phoenix have conceded 2.16 and scored 2.45. Past meetings favor Johvi Phoenix slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.42 - 1.63) back ReUnited to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Johvi Phoenix
15%
Draws
28%
ReUnited
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Johvi Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than ReUnited.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Johvi Phoenix have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 14%
ReUnited Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix ReUnited
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 18 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.45 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2022 Estonian Cup
Johvi Phoenix vs ReUnited
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 30 / 100
ReUnited 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix ReUnited

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Johvi Phoenix scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: ReUnited conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

Recent resilience: Johvi Phoenix stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: ReUnited has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Johvi Phoenix

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 7

ReUnited

(Away)
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
:
ReUnited
09 Aug
ReUnited
4 : 2
Legion U21
27 Jun
ReUnited
3 : 1
Loo JK
24 Jul
Viimsi JK
:
ReUnited
11 Aug
Tallinna Pocarr
1 : 0
ReUnited
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2