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Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Riigov R.
38' Event
Savenkov A.
55' Event
Shashkov I.

AI Match Summary

Johvi Phoenix in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Johvi Phoenix
15%
Draws
21%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Johvi Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than Tabasalu.
  • Johvi Phoenix are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 11%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix Tabasalu
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.53 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
3:2
Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2
May 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:1
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Savenkov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shashkov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Riigov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dobosev-Proosvali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 38 / 100
Tabasalu 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Tabasalu let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Johvi Phoenix has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Tabasalu
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Johvi Phoenix

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
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Tabasalu

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)