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Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Zahharov J.
45' Event
Riigov R.
75' Event
Altmets K.

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Johvi Phoenix
39%
Draws
30%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Johvi Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than Tabasalu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix Tabasalu
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:1
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Johvi Phoenix
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
3:1
May 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tabasalu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahharov J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Riigov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altmets K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 30 / 100
Tabasalu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix Tabasalu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tabasalu let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Johvi Phoenix stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Tabasalu
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777