Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix

3 - 2

Tartu Kalev

Our Tip

Match Events

Stoyanov B.

Tikhomirov A.

15'

Tsvibelberg G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Johvi Phoenix in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Johvi Phoenix

Draws

Tartu Kalev

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Johvi Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than Tartu Kalev.
Win probability leans Johvi Phoenix's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Johvi Phoenix have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%

Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Johvi Phoenix	Tartu Kalev
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	17	12
Draws	2	2
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	2.75	2.75
Goals Conceded	2.38	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

3:2

May 1, 2026 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

4:3

Sep 27, 2025 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Sep 7, 2025 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Aug 30, 2025 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanov B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tikhomirov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Villems M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 83 / 100

Tartu Kalev 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Johvi Phoenix Tartu Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Tartu Kalev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Johvi Phoenix has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Tartu Kalev

2.75 Goals Scored 2.75

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.88

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tammeka Tartu U21	19	12	2	5	54:37	38
2	Tulevik	19	11	1	7	55:39	34
3	Johvi Phoenix	19	11	1	7	49:47	34
4	Narva U21	18	10	2	6	44:28	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	19	10	2	7	56:42	32
6	Levadia U19	19	10	2	7	48:34	32
7	Tabasalu	19	9	0	10	33:50	27
8	Tartu Kalev	19	8	1	10	49:42	25
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	19	4	2	13	38:46	14
10	Legion	18	2	1	15	16:77	7