Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joinville U20 vs Avai U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Joel E.
42' Event
Araujo Rocha G. A.
56' Event
Brazil C.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Joinville U20 and Avai U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Joinville U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Joinville U20
15%
Draws
51%
Avai U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Avai U20 taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Avai U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
2:1
May 9, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
3:0
Jun 7, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Joinville U20
3:4
May 25, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Avai U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joel E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo Rocha G. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brazil C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 10 / 100
Avai U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Avai U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Joinville U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Avai U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Joinville U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Avai U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

Avai U20

(Away)
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
07 Aug
Avai U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
01 Aug
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)