Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joinville vs Figueirense B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Joinville in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Joinville
15%
Draws
34%
Figueirense B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Joinville have won more games recently than Figueirense B.
  • Joinville are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Joinville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Joinville, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Joinville Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville Figueirense B
Matches Played 35 14
Wins 12 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Figueirense B
3:0
Sep 8, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense B vs Joinville
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville 76 / 100
Figueirense B 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville Figueirense B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figueirense B has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

Joinville scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Figueirense B registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Joinville VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
Page 1 of 7

Figueirense B

(Away)
30 Oct
Joinville
3 : 0
Figueirense B
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
19 Oct
Figueirense B
1 : 0
Avai B
16 Oct
Brusque
4 : 2
Figueirense B
13 Oct
Figueirense B
0 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)