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Joinville vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Fluminense-SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Joinville
30%
Draws
34%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Joinville a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Fluminense-SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Joinville Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.6 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Fluminense-SC
1:3
Sep 14, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Joinville
1:1
Oct 15, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Fluminense-SC
4:1
Sep 30, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Joinville
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville 36 / 100
Fluminense-SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Joinville scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Joinville has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Joinville VS Fluminense-SC
0.6 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 25%
20% Over 2.5 13%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville

(Home)
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
23 May
Joinville
0 : 0
Cianorte
16 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0
Joinville
10 May
FC Cascavel
1 : 0
Joinville
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias14102222:1032
2Brusque1474326:1725
3Tubarao1466220:1324
4Avai B1463522:2221
5Fluminense-SC1445525:2417
6Joinville1443717:2115
7Figueirense B1424814:2410
8Almirante Barroso141589:248
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)