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Joinville vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Joinville Logo

Joinville

1 - 3
FT
Fluminense-SC Logo

Fluminense-SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Fluminense-SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Joinville
15%
Draws
46%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Fluminense-SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-SC, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Joinville Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Fluminense-SC
1:3
Sep 14, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Joinville
1:1
Oct 15, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Fluminense-SC
4:1
Sep 30, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Joinville
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville 31 / 100
Fluminense-SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Joinville scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Joinville has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Joinville VS Fluminense-SC
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville

(Home)
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
07 Jun
Sao Luiz
3 : 1
Joinville
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)