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Jonava vs Ekranas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Gyimah O.
64' Event
Hugo Figueredo
90' Event
Sohta T.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Jonava and Ekranas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ekranas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jonava
15%
Draws
36%
Ekranas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekranas haven't matched Jonava's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Jonava taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jonava Clean Sheet 20%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava Ekranas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs Ekranas
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Jonava
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Ekranas
0:2
Jun 27, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Jonava
0:0
Sep 29, 2023 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Jonava
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Figueredo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ekranas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyimah O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sohta T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 85 / 100
Ekranas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava Ekranas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekranas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ekranas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jonava scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS Ekranas
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

Ekranas

(Away)
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)