Sport Picks

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Jonava vs FC Pakruojis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Osauskas P.
17' Event
Quliyev K.
54' Event
Muratov A.

AI Match Summary

Jonava in this I Lyga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jonava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jonava
15%
Draws
0%
FC Pakruojis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jonava have won more games recently than FC Pakruojis.
  • Jonava are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jonava Clean Sheet 18%
FC Pakruojis Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava FC Pakruojis
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.16 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 5.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2019 I Lyga
Jonava vs FC Pakruojis
7:1
May 15, 2019 I Lyga
FC Pakruojis vs Jonava
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonava Compare

Top Goalscorer Quliyev K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osauskas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

FC Pakruojis Compare

Top Goalscorer Muratov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 85 / 100
FC Pakruojis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava FC Pakruojis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Pakruojis conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

FC Pakruojis lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Jonava found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 7

FC Pakruojis

(Away)
27 Oct
BFA Vilnius
9 : 0
FC Pakruojis
20 Oct
FC Pakruojis
1 : 9
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Oct
Vilniaus Vytis
15 : 1
FC Pakruojis
09 Oct
FC Hegelmann
11 : 1
FC Pakruojis
28 Sept
FC Pakruojis
1 : 10
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)