Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Houat Y.
(Penalty)
13'
13'
Kayode O.
Own Goal
36'
36'
Tunc M.
AI Match Summary
Jonava in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jonava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jonava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Jonava have won more games recently than FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.
- Win probability leans Jonava's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jonava Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jonava | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Jonava
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jonava Compare
Top Goalscorer Hugo Figueredo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Tunc M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jonava 67 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jonava FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Jonava scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Jonava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jonava VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jonava
(Home) 18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1 Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1 Jonava
21 Jun
Zalgiris 2
1 : 2 Jonava
12 Jun
Jonava
1 : 1 FK Atmosfera
07 Jun
Jonava
0 : 0 FK Minija
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Jonava
1 : 1 FK Atmosfera
07 Jun
Jonava
0 : 0 FK Minija
22 May
Jonava
1 : 1 FK Babrungas
08 May
Jonava
0 : 1 Neptunas
29 Apr
Jonava
0 : 4 FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
(Away) 19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2 FK Babrungas
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 BFA Vilnius
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
12 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
30 May
Transinvest 2
0 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15 May
Garliava
3 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
08 May
Ekranas
1 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 41:10 | 43 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 28:4 | 42 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Tauras Taurage | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30:17 | 31 |
| 5 | Neptunas | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Dainava Alytus | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:15 | 27 |
| 7 | BFA Vilnius | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 8 | Garliava | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Zalgiris 2 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Jonava | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 12 | Transinvest 2 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:36 | 14 |
| 13 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 16:32 | 13 |
| 14 | Ekranas | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16:33 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14:38 | 7 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)