Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Jonava and Neptunas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neptunas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Neptunas come out ahead of Jonava on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Neptunas have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jonava | Neptunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jonava Compare
Neptunas Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neptunas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Difficult form: Neptunas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Jonava found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jonava
(Home)Neptunas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23:43 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
