Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jonava vs Siauliai 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Micevicius G.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Jonava and Siauliai 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siauliai 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jonava
20%
Draws
40%
Siauliai 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jonava come out ahead of Siauliai 2 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jonava Clean Sheet 15%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava Siauliai 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs Siauliai 2
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Jonava
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Jonava
0:3
May 24, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Siauliai 2
3:1
Aug 26, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Jonava
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jonava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siauliai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Micevicius G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 30 / 100
Siauliai 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava Siauliai 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siauliai 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Siauliai 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jonava found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Jonava VS Siauliai 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jonava

(Home)
16 Oct
Jonava
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

Siauliai 2

(Away)
17 Oct
Siauliai 2
2 : 3
Garliava
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
3 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 27 21 4 2 48:13 67
2 FK Minija 26 22 1 3 70:16 67
3 BE1 NFA 26 17 3 6 48:26 54
4 Zalgiris 2 27 14 4 9 42:36 46
5 Neptunas 27 14 2 11 33:33 44
6 Dainava Alytus 27 12 8 7 40:28 44
7 Tauras Taurage 26 13 5 8 47:35 44
8 BFA Vilnius 27 13 4 10 40:40 43
9 FK Atmosfera 26 9 7 10 40:35 34
10 Garliava 27 9 5 13 34:30 32
11 Jonava 27 8 6 13 31:35 30
12 Transinvest 2 27 7 4 16 32:59 25
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 27 7 2 18 26:48 23
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 27 7 2 18 31:63 23
15 Siauliai 2 27 4 6 17 32:62 18
16 Ekranas 27 4 3 20 27:62 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)