Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Mol L. In: Doucoure S.
Out: Mol L.
46'
46'
Sub
Wolff K. In: O'Niel D.
Out: Wolff K.
46'
46'
Sub
Pata I. In: Mariani M.
Out: Pata I.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong Ajax and TOP Oss finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOP Oss.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOP Oss
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Jong Ajax have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — TOP Oss are scoring more at 1.41.
- Model gives TOP Oss a 44% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Ajax | TOP Oss |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs TOP Oss
1:2
Oct 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax
1:1
May 9, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs TOP Oss
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax
2:1
Feb 16, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Nash P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
TOP Oss Compare
Top Goalscorer Miguel L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hinoke M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Ajax 26 / 100
TOP Oss 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Ajax TOP Oss
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOP Oss has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Jong Ajax scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Jong Ajax has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jong Ajax VS TOP Oss
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Ajax
(Home) 18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
TOP Oss
(Away) 26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0 Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1 TOP Oss
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0 TOP Oss
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1 TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1 TOP Oss
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0 TOP Oss
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
