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Jong Almere City vs ACV Assen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Slor K.
Assist: Broers L.
22' Event
Teunissen S.
Assist: de Beer J.
25'
Spijkerman B.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Jong Almere City and ACV Assen finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACV Assen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Jong Almere City
15%
Draws
64%
ACV Assen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • ACV Assen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ACV Assen a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jong Almere City Clean Sheet 10%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Almere City ACV Assen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs ACV Assen
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Jong Almere City
0:4
Mar 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Almere City vs ACV Assen
6:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Jong Almere City
3:3
Feb 3, 2024 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Jong Almere City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Teunissen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nsingi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

ACV Assen Compare

Top Goalscorer Slor K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mulder J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Almere City 10 / 100
ACV Assen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Almere City ACV Assen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Jong Almere City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

ACV Assen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Jong Almere City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Almere City VS ACV Assen
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Almere City

(Home)
03 Oct
RKAV Volendam
1 : 4
Jong Almere City
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3
Spakenburg
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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ACV Assen

(Away)
03 Oct
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 2
ACV Assen
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
ACV Assen
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)