Sport Picks
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer 
Match Events
25'
25'
Jones A.
Assist: Bassey E.
41'
41'
Toppenberg K.
46'
46'
Sub
Bawuah J. In: Sidibe S.
Out: Bawuah J.
AI Match Summary
Jong PSV in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong PSV.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jong AZ Alkmaar average 2.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Jong PSV's 1.76.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Jong AZ Alkmaar taking it.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 17%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong AZ Alkmaar | Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
2:2
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong PSV
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100
Jong PSV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong AZ Alkmaar Jong PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Jong PSV has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jong AZ Alkmaar VS Jong PSV
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
01 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 7 Jong AZ Alkmaar
28 Jul
Quick Boys
1 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
25 Jul
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Jong AZ Alkmaar
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
10 Aug
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Eindhoven FC
17 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0 Jong Ajax
11 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1 FC Volendam
24 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0 Roda
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 3
Jong PSV
(Away) 10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2 FC Volendam
18 Jul
Jong PSV
2 : 4 Genk U23
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong PSV
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong PSV
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
03 Apr
Willem II
1 : 0 Jong PSV
16 Mar
Den Bosch
1 : 0 Jong PSV
06 Mar
Roda
0 : 2 Jong PSV
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
