Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Den Bosch vs Jong Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
(Penalty)
14' Event
24' Event
Meerveld R.

AI Match Summary

Jong Den Bosch in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Den Bosch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jong Den Bosch
15%
Draws
48%
Jong Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Excelsior have won more games recently than Jong Den Bosch.
  • Model gives Jong Den Bosch a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Jong Den Bosch Clean Sheet 11%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Den Bosch Jong Excelsior
Matches Played 18 26
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.11 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2020 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Den Bosch
3:2
Oct 1, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Den Bosch vs Jong Excelsior
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Meerveld R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Heijden S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Jong Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes Rodrigues J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Delft D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Den Bosch 47 / 100
Jong Excelsior 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Den Bosch Jong Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Bosch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Den Bosch scored in 83% of their last 18 games.

Jong Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jong Den Bosch stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Den Bosch VS Jong Excelsior
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Den Bosch

(Home)
09 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
2 : 3
Jong Den Bosch
02 Mar
Jong Den Bosch
1 : 1
Jong FC Twente
17 Feb
Jong Den Bosch
4 : 1
Jong FC Eindhoven
10 Feb
Jong Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong Den Bosch
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 4

Jong Excelsior

(Away)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)