Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Den Haag vs Lienden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 11, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Den Haag host Lienden in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Jong Den Haag at 1.9 goals for, 1.5 against; Lienden at 0.84 for, 1.89 against. Past meetings favor Jong Den Haag slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 0.69) point toward Jong Den Haag. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong Den Haag
15%
Draws
34%
Lienden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Den Haag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Den Haag have won more games recently than Lienden.
  • Jong Den Haag are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 20%
Lienden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Den Haag Lienden
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 10 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.9 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2020 Derde Divisie
Jong Den Haag vs Lienden
0:0
Jan 21, 2020 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs Jong Den Haag
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Den Haag 67 / 100
Lienden 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Den Haag Lienden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Haag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lienden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 19 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jong Den Haag scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lienden lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Den Haag VS Lienden
0 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Den Haag

(Home)
02 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 0
Jong Den Haag
12 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Jong Den Haag
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 4

Lienden

(Away)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)