Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Nijmegen

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong Nijmegen in this Reserve League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jong Dordrecht
15%
Draws
85%
Jong Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong Nijmegen have won more games recently than Jong Dordrecht.
  • Jong Nijmegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jong Nijmegen have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jong Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Dordrecht Jong Nijmegen
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 1 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.12 2.32
Goals Conceded 3.62 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Dordrecht
4:4
Jan 30, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Dordrecht vs Jong Nijmegen
1:3
Dec 5, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Nijmegen vs Jong Dordrecht
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Dordrecht 10 / 100
Jong Nijmegen 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Dordrecht Jong Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Nijmegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.

Jong Nijmegen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Jong Dordrecht's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Away concern: Jong Nijmegen has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Dordrecht VS Jong Nijmegen
0.29 Goals Scored 0.75
3.14 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Dordrecht

(Home)
11 Aug
Jong Feyenoord
5 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 4
Jong Cambuur
17 Feb
Jong Sittard
2 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3
Jong FC Eindhoven
Page 1 of 6

Jong Nijmegen

(Away)
12 Aug
De Treffers
4 : 2
Jong Nijmegen
24 Mar
Jong Maastricht
0 : 9
Jong Nijmegen
21 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 2
Jong Sittard
01 Mar
Jong Almere City
1 : 6
Jong Nijmegen
10 Mar
Jong Nijmegen
2 : 5
Jong Heracles
Page 1 of 5