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Jong Excelsior vs Jong Heracles

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jong Excelsior
15%
Draws
26%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Jong Excelsior at 2.65 per game, Jong Heracles at 1.81.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Jong Excelsior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Excelsior Jong Heracles
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.65 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Heracles
1:1
Nov 6, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Excelsior
1:1
May 2, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong Heracles
1:1
Oct 17, 2016 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong Excelsior
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Excelsior 67 / 100
Jong Heracles 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Excelsior Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong Excelsior scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Jong Heracles let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Jong Excelsior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Excelsior VS Jong Heracles
1.2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.63
40% Over 1.5 25%
40% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Excelsior

(Home)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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