Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong Excelsior vs Jong NAC Breda

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2016/2017 game between Jong Excelsior and Jong NAC Breda finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong Excelsior
20%
Draws
29%
Jong NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong NAC Breda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jong Excelsior a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 16%
Jong NAC Breda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Excelsior Jong NAC Breda
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.65 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.15 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2019 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
3:1
Feb 12, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong NAC Breda
0:3
Oct 1, 2018 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
3:0
Mar 5, 2018 Reserve League
Jong NAC Breda vs Jong Excelsior
0:0
Oct 23, 2017 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong NAC Breda
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Excelsior 48 / 100
Jong NAC Breda 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Excelsior Jong NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Excelsior scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jong Excelsior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jong NAC Breda let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong Excelsior VS Jong NAC Breda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Excelsior

(Home)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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Jong NAC Breda

(Away)
22 Jul
Kozakken Boys
1 : 0
Jong NAC Breda
15 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 1
Jong NAC Breda
25 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Jong NAC Breda
09 Mar
Jong Willem II
1 : 3
Jong NAC Breda
02 Mar
Jong NAC Breda
1 : 1
Jong Zwolle
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