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Stadium Background

Jong FC Eindhoven vs Jong Excelsior

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Lazrek I.
4' Event
Cicilia R.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Fortes J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Jong Excelsior in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jong FC Eindhoven
15%
Draws
51%
Jong Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Excelsior have won more games recently than Jong FC Eindhoven.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jong Excelsior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Jong Excelsior have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Jong FC Eindhoven Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Eindhoven Jong Excelsior
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.44 2.65
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Eindhoven vs Jong Excelsior
2:4
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong FC Eindhoven
2:2
Apr 8, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong FC Eindhoven
6:0
Oct 22, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Excelsior vs Jong FC Eindhoven
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Eindhoven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jong Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarsson E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes Moreira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Eindhoven 26 / 100
Jong Excelsior 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Eindhoven Jong Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Excelsior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Jong FC Eindhoven found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Jong FC Eindhoven went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Eindhoven VS Jong Excelsior
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong FC Eindhoven

(Home)
09 Mar
Jong Sittard
4 : 6
Jong FC Eindhoven
02 Mar
Jong FC Eindhoven
0 : 3
Jong FC Emmen
17 Feb
Jong Den Bosch
4 : 1
Jong FC Eindhoven
10 Feb
Jong Dordrecht
2 : 3
Jong FC Eindhoven
03 Feb
Jong FC Eindhoven
1 : 3
Jong FC Twente
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Jong Excelsior

(Away)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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