Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heerenveen

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League De Oude Meerdijk
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Toufiqui A.
Assist: Kharchouch R.
25' Event
Scholte B.
Assist: Kharchouch R.
44' Event
Bijleveld T.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Jong FC Emmen and Jong Heerenveen finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong FC Emmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jong FC Emmen
6%
Draws
4%
Jong Heerenveen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jong FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jong Heerenveen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jong FC Emmen a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Emmen Jong Heerenveen
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2022 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong FC Emmen
2:1
Nov 1, 2021 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heerenveen
4:0
Aug 19, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong FC Emmen
2:1
Dec 10, 2018 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong FC Emmen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Toufiqui A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scholte B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jong Heerenveen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Emmen 85 / 100
Jong Heerenveen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Emmen Jong Heerenveen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Emmen's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jong Heerenveen conceded in 84% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Jong FC Emmen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Emmen VS Jong Heerenveen
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jong Heracles43015:39
2Jong FC Emmen42119:37
3Jong FC Twente42023:46
4Jong Heerenveen42026:106
5Jong Almere City40134:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jong Den Haag320111:46
2Jong Venlo32016:36
3Jong Sittard32017:56
4Jong Waalwijk11001:03
5Jong Maastricht40041:140