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Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Toufiqui A.

AI Match Summary

Jong FC Emmen in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong FC Emmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong FC Emmen
20%
Draws
29%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Heracles lately — more wins on the board than Jong FC Emmen.
  • Model gives Jong FC Emmen a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Emmen Jong Heracles
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2022 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
1:0
Oct 18, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen
1:0
Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
1:3
Apr 29, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen
0:1
Dec 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Toufiqui A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Jong Heracles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Emmen 76 / 100
Jong Heracles 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Emmen Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong FC Emmen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong FC Emmen scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Jong Heracles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jong FC Emmen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Emmen VS Jong Heracles
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong FC Emmen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
07 Dec
Jong Almere City
2 : 2
Jong FC Emmen
01 Nov
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
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