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Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020 De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Bijleveld T.
52' Event
Szoke A.
54' Event
Konings J.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong FC Emmen and Jong Heracles finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jong FC Emmen
20%
Draws
29%
Jong Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong FC Emmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong Heracles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jong FC Emmen a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Heracles Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Emmen Jong Heracles
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2022 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
1:0
Oct 18, 2021 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen
1:0
Dec 2, 2019 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
1:3
Apr 29, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heracles vs Jong FC Emmen
0:1
Dec 3, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong Heracles
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Quispel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Jong Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Bijleveld T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szoke A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Emmen 76 / 100
Jong Heracles 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Emmen Jong Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong FC Emmen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jong FC Emmen scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Jong Heracles let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jong FC Emmen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Emmen VS Jong Heracles
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong FC Emmen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
07 Dec
Jong Almere City
2 : 2
Jong FC Emmen
01 Nov
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
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Jong Heracles

(Away)
03 Aug
Groningen U21
2 : 0
Jong Heracles
22 Mar
Jong FC Emmen
1 : 0
Jong Heracles
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
21 Nov
Jong Heracles
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)