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Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Lieshout J.
71' Event
Ould Chikh W.
81'
Schutte M.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League 2019/2020 game between Jong FC Twente and Jong De Graafschap finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jong FC Twente
15%
Draws
31%
Jong De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong FC Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Jong De Graafschap carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jong De Graafschap's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Reserve League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jong FC Twente Clean Sheet 16%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Twente Jong De Graafschap
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.3 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.41 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap
0:2
Nov 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Twente
1:1
Aug 27, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Twente Compare

Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.2

Jong De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Lieshout J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ould Chikh W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Twente 19 / 100
Jong De Graafschap 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Twente Jong De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong De Graafschap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Twente scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Jong De Graafschap has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Jong FC Twente has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Twente VS Jong De Graafschap
0.38 Goals Scored 2.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.43
38% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong FC Twente

(Home)
03 Aug
Hardenberg
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
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Jong De Graafschap

(Away)
18 Aug
TEC
3 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
09 Mar
Jong De Graafschap
11 : 0
Jong Dordrecht
02 Mar
Jong Vitesse
0 : 0
Jong De Graafschap
17 Feb
Jong FC Twente
0 : 2
Jong De Graafschap
03 Feb
Jong De Graafschap
1 : 4
Jong Cambuur
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