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Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jong FC Twente play Jong De Graafschap in the Reserve League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jong FC Twente averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Jong De Graafschap averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Jong FC Twente won 1, Jong De Graafschap won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 17, 2020 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.41 for Jong FC Twente and 1.45 for Jong De Graafschap. This points to a Jong De Graafschap double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Jong FC Twente
20%
Draws
41%
Jong De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong De Graafschap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong FC Twente picked up more points recently compared to Jong De Graafschap.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.41 vs 1.45 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Jong FC Twente Clean Sheet 16%
Jong De Graafschap Clean Sheet 24%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Twente Jong De Graafschap
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.3 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap
0:2
Nov 26, 2019 Reserve League
Jong De Graafschap vs Jong FC Twente
1:1
Aug 27, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong De Graafschap
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Twente Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Jong De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer Lieshout J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ould Chikh W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Twente 38 / 100
Jong De Graafschap 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Twente Jong De Graafschap

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong De Graafschap or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jong FC Twente attacking → ← attacking Jong De Graafschap

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Twente scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Jong De Graafschap let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Jong FC Twente went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jong De Graafschap lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 40
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.14
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.43