Sport Picks

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Jong FC Twente vs Jong FC Emmen

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ugalde M.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Jong FC Twente and Jong FC Emmen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jong FC Twente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jong FC Twente
39%
Draws
31%
Jong FC Emmen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong FC Emmen's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Jong FC Twente have produced (0.5).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong FC Twente Clean Sheet 20%
Jong FC Emmen Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong FC Twente Jong FC Emmen
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2022 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong FC Emmen
1:0
Sep 27, 2021 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong FC Twente
3:0
Mar 16, 2020 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong FC Twente
0:0
Sep 16, 2019 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong FC Emmen
0:2
Mar 11, 2019 Reserve League
Jong FC Emmen vs Jong FC Twente
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong FC Twente Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugalde M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Jong FC Emmen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong FC Twente 31 / 100
Jong FC Emmen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong FC Twente Jong FC Emmen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Twente scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Jong FC Emmen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Jong FC Twente remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jong FC Twente VS Jong FC Emmen
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%