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Jong Heerenveen vs Jong FC Twente

Netherlands Netherlands

Reserve League 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Dreyer A.
58' Event
Smit R.

AI Match Summary

Jong Heerenveen in this Reserve League 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Heerenveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jong Heerenveen
15%
Draws
54%
Jong FC Twente
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jong FC Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Heerenveen lately — more wins on the board than Jong FC Twente.
  • Win probability leans Jong FC Twente's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jong FC Twente here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jong Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong FC Twente Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jong Heerenveen Jong FC Twente
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 2 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2022 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong FC Twente
3:4
Dec 6, 2021 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong Heerenveen
2:0
Dec 9, 2019 Reserve League
Jong Heerenveen vs Jong FC Twente
2:0
Oct 23, 2018 Reserve League
Jong FC Twente vs Jong Heerenveen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jong Heerenveen Compare

Top Goalscorer Dreyer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smit R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Jong FC Twente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jong Heerenveen 16 / 100
Jong FC Twente 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jong Heerenveen Jong FC Twente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong FC Twente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong FC Twente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Jong Heerenveen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (24 games).

Jong Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jong Heerenveen VS Jong FC Twente
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jong Heerenveen

(Home)
04 Apr
Jong Heerenveen
2 : 1
Jong FC Emmen
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong Heracles
0 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
22 Nov
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
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Jong FC Twente

(Away)
03 Aug
Hardenberg
1 : 0
Jong FC Twente
14 Mar
Jong FC Twente
2 : 1
Jong Heracles
28 Feb
Jong Heerenveen
3 : 4
Jong FC Twente
14 Feb
Jong FC Twente
1 : 0
Jong FC Emmen
06 Dec
Jong FC Twente
2 : 0
Jong Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Jong G.A. Eagles 10 5 5 0 22:8 20
3 Jong Zwolle 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
4 Jong Feyenoord 10 5 3 2 22:18 18
5 Jong Heerenveen 10 4 3 3 21:24 15
6 Jong Heracles 10 4 2 4 18:12 14
7 Jong FC Emmen 10 3 3 4 21:19 12
8 Jong Cambuur 10 3 1 6 17:26 10
9 Jong De Graafschap 10 3 1 6 13:25 10
10 Jong Vitesse 10 2 2 6 13:22 8
11 Jong FC Twente 10 0 3 7 7:22 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong NAC Breda 10 9 1 0 21:4 28
2 Jong Willem II 10 7 0 3 22:13 21
3 Jong Waalwijk 10 6 0 4 25:10 18
4 Jong Nijmegen 10 5 2 3 23:14 17
5 Jong Roda 10 5 1 4 25:18 16
6 Jong Venlo 10 5 0 5 29:14 15
7 Jong Sittard 10 4 0 6 19:27 12
8 Jong Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 15:27 11
9 Jong FC Eindhoven 10 3 1 6 16:37 10
10 Jong Excelsior 10 2 2 6 14:29 8
11 Jong Dordrecht 10 0 3 7 13:29 3
Promotion - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Reserve League 2019/2020 (Losers stage)